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Polling numbers mixed: Huckabee, Romney, McCain all have leads…
By sage of monticello | December 30, 2007
Poll 1
According to a recent Reuters-CSPAN-Zogby poll, former governors Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are statistically tied atop the lead for the coveted Iowa Caucus, where a win could propel either to the Republican Party nomination. With only six percent saying they were undecdided, Huckabee holds a small one-point lead over Romney with a margin of error of 3.4.
Huckabee, a former Arkansas governor, held a statistically insignificant one-point edge over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, 29 percent to 28 percent. Arizona Sen. John McCain was a distant third with 11 percent.
Three Republicans, former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Texas Rep. Ron Paul, registered 8 percent in the poll.
The poll found about 6 percent of likely caucus-goers in each party are uncertain of their choice in Thursday’s contest, the first big test in the state-by-state battle to choose candidates for the November presidential election.
On the Democratic side, the poll found Hillary Clinton to have a slightly more significant lead. The poll results gave Clinton (31%) a four-point edge over Barack Obama (27%) and a seven-point edge over John Edwards (24%). The polling suggests that the bump for Clinton, who had previously been statistically tied with Obama, came from a slight increase in support from Iowa women. The margin of error for the Democrats was 3.3, placing Clinton slightly outside of it.
Poll 2
A poll by MSNBC shows much different results. A recent MSNBC poll, on the Republican side, had Mitt Romney leading by four-points, trailed by Mike Huckabee (23%), Fred Thompson (14%), and John McCain (13%). On the Democratic side, the poll gave the lead to John Edwards with 24%, followed by Hillary Clinton (23%) and Barack Obama (22%).
This poll is less accurate than the Reuters-CSPAN-Zogby poll because of its higher margin of error (5%), which reflects a smaller sample size (less people were asked what they thought).
Poll 3
Drudge is reporting that a recent national Rasmussen poll shows that John McCain holds the lead nationally.
From Drudge:
RASMUSSEN Poll National Republican: McCain 17%; Romney 16%; Huckabee 16%; Giuliani 15%; Thompson 12%… Developing…
Topics: Presidential Primary, Campaign 2008, John McCain, Republican Presidential contenders, John Edwards, Democrat Presidential contenders, Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Ron Paul, Mike Huckabee, public opinion, polls |
December 30th, 2007 at 2:06 pm
[…] Here’s another interesting post I read today by CR Nation: News for College Republicans […]